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Constructs Influencing Customer Loyalty

Identifying and Measuring Customer Loyalty: This paper presents a unique integrated model for managing customer relationships that will offer organisations scope for improving profitability of their customer strategies

This paper reveals that where individual profitability and / or lifetime value can not be calculated, a useful substitute or proxy is required, based on actual, known behaviour rather than inferred characteristics.
The new process needs to identify a new dependent construct that relates directly to profit.
Sector Customer Loyalty
Author PRISM
Date December 2000
  White Paper

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Overview of the Constructs Influencing Customer Loyalty

There are some important differences between ABC and traditional costing. The latter, which is based on volume, distorts the allocation made to marketing activity since it often understates the cost of slow moving products (Cassar, 1994) or the cost of credit card holders with low credit turnovers/volume (PRISM Consulting, 1997). This can lead to product line extensions appearing profitable, when in fact they are not if new product development and batch set-up costs are properly allocated. ABC can be time-consuming to implement, but its benefits are considerable.

A study on what constructs influence customer loyalty in the Maltese financial services sector (Caruana and Chircop, 1998) revealed that frequent visitors to the same branch were positively influenced by the tellers' perceived capability to understand customer needs and wants. The following four constructs have been repeatedly cited in the literature as influential factors. The relevance of the propositions that satisfy these needs of distinct customer segments, the rewards customers receive for their loyalty, the relationships that organisations truly build with their customers on a one to one basis, and the retention of that loyalty over time.

The constructs approach was used by Runge (1985) and Alter (1975) in performing research similar in nature to this research when they sought a taxonomy of decision systems. Reich and Benbasat (1990 also used this approach to identify factors influencing the decision to adopt. However, Grover (1993) found it necessary to construct an instrument based on significant studies in innovation to identify constructs facilitating consumers' decisions. Furthermore, Runge (1985) notes that the 'selection of constructs for consideration is left largely to individual researchers' biases, hence a number of important constructs could be ignored'. We advocate the use of discriminant analysis to identify constructs that distinguish motivation and behaviour. Though the dynamics of this process can swamp particular structural aspects of the situation, and limit the effectiveness of the construct approach, Grover (1993) utilised factor analysis to yield a 'parsimonious model' based on different categories of constructs. To minimise such bias, we incorporated the criteria suggested by Yin (1994) when building the research instrument: construct validity (both external validity and internal validity), and reliability.


Distinguishing between Motivation and Behaviour

It is important to make clear distinctions between customer behaviour and customer motivation in determining causes and effects of loyalty, and to ensure the correct measures are taken.

Behaviour is mathematically linked to financial outcomes (Caruana, 1993), whereas motivation is less directly connected (Kotler, 1980). But much of the language in this area tends not to do so (Dwyer, Schurr, and Oh, 1987). For example, loyalty can be used to mean behaviour, for instance, repeat purchasing. Alternatively, loyalty can refer to motivation, that is, feeling loyal towards a frequently purchased brand.

These opposing views of the meaning of a key term have become embedded structurally within marketing. The advertising industry prefers the motivational definition, since it aligns with their activities, while direct marketers choose the behavioural definition, which they are better able to address and measure.

 

Constructs Validation

Construct validity was achieved by using multiple sources of evidence and by establishing a chain of evidence supported by a common and consistent research framework based on Runge's (1985) taxonomy. All our interviews were based on the same structure, which served to ensure that all the constructs were addressed by each interviewee. Furthermore, the contextual ratings technique required the informants to review the statements provided, as suggested by Yin (1994). Furthermore, we distinguished between the external and internal validity.

External Validity. This assesses the degree to which an instrument is measuring the construct it is purporting to measure. The problem of external validity is concerned with providing generalisation through each case study. As Yin (1994) explains 'case studies do not provide statistical generalisation and the number of cases studied is not relevant for that'. Validity is not an absolute characteristic and has multiple aspects. Using the Grover (1993) model as a benchmark, our research included the structures, relationships and characteristics that potentially contribute to customer loyalty. In other words, measures must truly measure the constructs they are intended to measure. Ray (1984) argues that 'the development of measures which have been tested for validity is a critical requirement for the advancement of knowledge in the social sciences'. However, generalisation is not automatic, and findings must be tested through replication in more cases. Yin (1994) argues that the 'use of multiple case studies enables the replication of the logic through other cases'. Furthermore, in this research, the findings were analysed in the light of existing explanations, based on our experiences working in the field, which strengthens their external validity.

Internal Validity. Caruana (1993) argues that internal validity can only be tested statistically. Therefore, since this research is primarily dealing with qualitative data, it presented us with a limitation in measuring internal validity because reliable tests of convergent and nomological validity such as Campbell and Fiske's (1959) multi-trait multi-method matrix cannot be performed without quantitative data. However, we feel that internal validity was achieved thanks to the clear patterns that emerged through the cross-analysis of the case studies. Perhaps the strongest internal validation of this research was to assess the convergence between the results from the three multi-variant data analysis techniques of content analysis, contextual ratings and correspondence analysis. If the correspondence is high, the researcher can be assured that the results reflect the research problem as depicted in Section One above. However, we are aware that this type of convergence does not address the generalisability of the results to other samples of the population. Hair et. al. (1998) note that owing to the characteristics of these three techniques, the convergence of the results 'does provide some internal validity' to the overall patterns of organisation positions vis-á-vis the constructs influencing customer loyalty. This is supported by the fact that most of the data was collected through semi-structured interviews, enabling respondents to freely introduce into the discussion any issue that they considered relevant. We feel that the fact that there are a reasonable number of cases, in different industries, with similar patterns reduce the probability of the phenomena under study being explained by other constructs than the ones identified and used in the research.

Reliability. According to Yin (1994) reliability refers to the degree an instrument is free from error and yields consistent results. In other words, reliability is concerned with minimising errors and biases in the study. This implies that a set of procedures must be available to enable a later researcher to replicate the same research and achieve the same results. Yin (1994) suggests the use of a case study protocol and the development of a case study database. In this paper, the Research Instrument is appended at the back, including data about the profile of each Maltese organisation taking part, contacts, interview time spent, names of the participants and commercial data gathered from secondary sources, plus other relevant data about the fieldwork. These documents would enable another researcher to replicate the study in order to test the research findings.

Measures must not vary unreasonably because of irrelevant factors such as the way questions are asked, respondent fatigue, and the like. Reliability of constructs was tested by Cronbach's alpha (1951), which is a measure of reliability that ranges from 0 to 1, with values of .60 to .70 deemed the lower limit of acceptability. However, for this qualitative research, a longitudinal study testing the same constructs with the same group of Maltese organisations, will provide a better construct reliability test. Such a longitudinal study was beyond the means of this research.

During this research, the quality of the measures adopted in the design were closely examined, by being rigorous to construct-operationalisation efforts, especially where organisations were faced with linking customers' behaviour with their motivating thoughts and feelings; a very important area where measurement is underdeveloped. This deficiency has been noted in various investigations including Parsons (1983), who pointed out a lack of commonly accepted guidelines or measurement frameworks; Treacy (1986), who outlined the critical importance of clearly defining constructs and operationalising them in reliable and valid ways; and Wiseman (1985), who included measurement in his agenda of issues which need to be addressed in this area.

According to Reich and Benbasat (1990) this presents significant difficulties since behaviour, such as repeat purchasing, is not readily associated with thoughts, because the customer does not exert great amounts of cognitive effort in thinking about the purchasing decision.


Low cognitive effort can occur for several reasons

The choice is of relatively low importance to the consumer, or they lack time to consider it. This applies to many consumer products where repeat purchasing occurs through inertia, for example, staple grocery items.

The choice is boring, even though it is important. This can apply to financial services, utilities, income tax returns, and the like.
The choice is based more on feelings and emotions than on thinking, even though the purchase is important. This often applies to fashion goods, clothing, automobiles, etc. A further complication is that customers may engage in extensive and elaborate searches and information gathering, even though the ultimate decision is primarily an emotional choice.

 

Getting the Measure of Behaviour and Motivation

In most marketing departments, motivation has tended to dominate, especially with regards to advertising. Alongside the measures of imagery and brand perception, which have been used, the growth of satisfaction measures also needs to be embraced. Customer satisfaction indicators should not be left outside mainstream management, but incorporated into key performance indicators (Reicheld, 1996).

Behavioural measures have become easier to take through the growth of data and computing power. Tracking purchases, in particular, can now be used to identify customer value and propensity to purchase. Important issues need to be addressed about the period over which such measures are taken and the way customer segments are identified.

Different product categories will also require careful consideration of how to separate motivation from behaviour. High-impulse items have been shown to involve very little cognition, for example. Purchasing fragrance may be almost entirely driven by the consumer's perceptions than by any need, and may be highly influenced at point of sale.

The highly cognitive process of deciding to buy a car is very hard to influence at the point of purchase. To ensure that the right balance is struck, this paper outlines an approach, which combines the full range of measures to provide a holistic view of the customer relationship.


Populating the Database

Our model shows that the very first step in formulating and implementing a customer loyalty scheme is triggered by the fact that the company wants to acquire more knowledge about its customers. An essential difference between one-to-one marketing schemes and other forms of direct marketing is that loyalty schemes are data-driven. Without the ability to formulate a single holistic view of the customer it is impossible to enact any customer strategy and events which flow from this way of thinking.

The first stage in building one-to-one relationships is simply identifying as many customers as possible (Peppers and Rogers 1993). In our opinion, loyalty schemes are very effective mechanisms to entice customers to depart with their information.

We call this the "Bribing Phase" in our model.

 

Leveraging Existing Customer Knowledge

Once the first step is successfully executed, a company undertaking to implement a one-to-one marketing strategy will have to also put in place either some form of data mart or customer marketing database, and some processes for analysing and modelling customer behaviour. Our model combines three constructs: (1) customer behaviour, (2) customer future value, and (3) customer needs and wants, in order to enable a company to start formulating a one-to-one relationship.

Based on the combination of results that emerge from these constructs, the model leads the user to list a series of business rules about which customers should be contacted with which offer. By creating business rules based on analysis of those constructs that influence customer loyalty, users of this model are guaranteed that they will be on their way to develop long lasting profitable relationships with their wanted customers. For instance, the model guides users to develop a measure of customer relationships based on the change in value year-on-year. Given the difficulties many companies have in identifying their most valuable customers or in calculating their value to the business, this model provides an insight to which customers are worth keeping and which are not. Markets are an aggregate of customers. Markets change quickly and customers change their lifestyles according to the life-stage they happen to be in. Various marketing researchers have shown that these have an impact on the type of products/services customers will purchase (Payne, 1991). The methods used to segment the customer base need to be able to reflect these dynamics and need themselves to be dynamically developed to reflect shifts in the market.

We call this stage the "Adoption Phase".


Segmentation

Within the context of developing customer knowledge as part of one-to-one marketing and CRM, our experience in working with some of Malta's leading organisations shows that many executives find they are able to leverage customer knowledge as part of their direct marketing initiatives. Our model is underpinned by geo-demographic segmentation (WHO the customers are) followed by behavioural segmentation (WHAT they buy or HOW they buy it). This simple model draws on data, which is commonly held on the most recent purchase, the frequency of purchase and the value of purchases. Applying this tool in our model, we were able to produce ranking lists from best to worse (see Appendices).

Our research revealed that where individual profitability and / or lifetime value can not be calculated, RFM is a useful substitute (practical proxy), not least because it is based on actual, known behaviour rather than inferred characteristics.

 

Life-Time Values

Life-Time Value (LTV) is another important calculation underpinning our model. We have deployed this in a host of companies who are working with us to segment their customer base. The true figures are hard to produce since real costs over time will vary. The financial outputs should follow logically within the cause-and-effect chain that the model proposes. Significantly, the model is intended to be applied for each customer segment. If this is done, then marketers, especially within the context of relationship marketing, will be able to justify their actions and investments towards building profitable relationships. This is especially important given that many relationship marketing initiatives have historically failed to make the connection between the activity and the effect on profits based on the potential future earnings from each customer.

 

Summary

In this paper we concluded that our Customer Loyalty Model proposes a fundamental shift in the dependent construct which measurement tools are intended to reveal. For the last twenty years, the construct being sought has been customer satisfaction. The new process needs to identify a new dependent construct that relates directly to profit. Instead of asking the customer "how was the service", customer-centric organisations need to find out "how the customer will behave". If this can be achieved, marketing will finally be able to demonstrate its direct effect on revenues and the bottom-line.

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References:

Alter, S.L. (1975) 'A Study of Computer Aided Decision Making in Organisations' in D. Runge, Using Telecommunications for Competitive Advantage, Oxford: Oxford Institute of Information Management.
Reich, B.H. & Benbasat, I. (1990) An Empirical Investigation of Constructs Influencing the Success of Customer-Oriented Strategic Systems, British Columbia: The Institute of Management Sciences.
Grover, V. (1993) An Empirically Derived Model for the Adoption of Customer-based Interorganizational Systems, Columbia: Decision Sciences Vol. 24, No. 3.
Ray, M.L. (1984) 'The Critical Need for a Marketing Measurement Tradition: A Proposal' in Peter, J.P. & Ray, M.L. (1984) Measurement Readings for Market Research, Chicago: American Marketing Association.
Parsons, G.L. (1983) Information Technology: A New Competitive Weapon, Volume 24(1): Sloan Management Review.
Treacy, M.E. (1986) 'Towards a Cumulative Tradition of Research on Information Technology as Strategic Business Factor' in Sethi, V. & King, W.R. (1991) Construct Measurement in Information Systems Research: An Illustration in Strategic Systems, Volume 22: Decision Sciences.
Wiseman, C. (1985) Strategy and Computers: Information Systems as Competitive Weapons, Homewood: Dow Jones Irwin.

 
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